EURUSD - Тенденции, прогнозы и следствия (Часть №1) - страница 1063

1.38 легко.

сейчас даже 1.37 не увидим, а по поводу 1.33 в марте - согласен.

пока данный пост первый по порядку, далее достоверность все смогут оценить по соотношению верно / неверно. сегодня это 0/0. Итак рискну предположить что евро/доллар от 11,30 (это +4 часа к москве) цена присядет до 1,36228

  3608, только разве это прогноз?)))

Американцы действительно не поют дифирамбы доллару. Сами они не столь уверены в дальнейшем росте USD. Риск он всегда есть. А вот про евру все мнения на спад.

Когда гэп и цена пересекает стоп или тэйк, ордер исполняется по самой невыгодной для тебя цене - стоп скользит и не исполняется, а тейк исполняется по своей цене невзирая на гэп.

такие шутки не проходят тут только точный расчет..

Уровни акселя на english, зато раньше

European Forex Technicals: Euro Recovering; More Gains Seen

 
   By Francis Bray, CFTe MSTA 
   A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN 
 

LONDON (Dow Jones)--Rolling 24-hour chart levels:

 
Forex spot:       EUR/USD    USD/JPY    GBP/USD    USD/CHF 
 
Spot 0558 GMT     1.3635     91.69      1.5483     1.0752 
3 Day Trend       Range      Bullish    Bearish    Range 
Weekly Trend      Bearish    Range      Bearish    Bullish 
200 day ma        1.4251     92.16      1.6135     1.0553 
3rd Resistance    1.3707     92.55      1.5560     1.0863 
2nd Resistance    1.3675     92.16      1.5537     1.0820 
1st Resistance    1.3655     91.90      1.5507     1.0773 
Pivot*            1.3559     91.72      1.5439     1.0802 
1st Support       1.3602     91.42      1.5440     1.0737 
2nd Support       1.3546     91.18      1.5385     1.0685 
3rd Support       1.3483     90.56      1.5350     1.0644 
 

Intraday EUR/USD: Builds on the recovery off Friday's 9-month low at 1.3443 to put pressure on the 1.3655 lower high, and confirms 1.3443 as a near-term bear failure. A break through 1.3655 would open 1.3675 and 1.3707, which protect the Feb. 17 lower high at 1.3789. Below 1.3602 would initiate further weakness back towards 1.3546 and the 1.3483 higher low.

Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bearish.

Intraday USD/JPY: A resistance cluster at 92.16 has capped recent strength to leave a higher high, lower close Friday, and the threat is for renewed bear pressure on 91.42. Below there would extend the setback towards the Feb. 18 higher low at 90.56, although this level sets a downside limit. Regaining ground above 91.90 would bring the focus back onto the 92.16, which protects 92.55.

Weekly chart USD/JPY trend: Range.

Intraday GBP/USD: Stages a good, albeit corrective recovery off Friday's 9-month low at 1.5350 in an attempt to retest the completed bear flag low 1.5537. However, the dominant bear trend is likely to cap gains in order to protect the downside gap at 1.5507, and the greater risk is for renewed bear pressure on the 1.5385 higher low.

Weekly chart GBP/USD trend: Bearish.

Intraday USD/CHF: Extends the sharp reversal off Friday's high at 1.0899, and suggests there is scope for further corrective weakness back to the 1.0644 support area. This area has become pivotal, and should therefore limit the immediate downside threat. Above 1.0773 would suggest a recovery towards the 1.0820 area.

Weekly chart USD/CHF trend: Bullish.

Forex spot:       EUR/GBP    EUR/JPY    EUR/CHF    AUD/USD 
 
Spot 0634 GMT     0.8811     125.03     1.4653     0.9012 
3 Day Trend       Range      Bullish    Range      Bullish 
Weekly Trend      Range      Bearish    Bearish    Bullish 
200 day ma        0.8839     131.27     1.5018     0.8637 
3rd Resistance    0.8855     127.00     1.4705     0.9144 
2nd Resistance    0.8841     125.93     1.4693     0.9093 
1st Resistance    0.8814     125.24     1.4676     0.9035 
Pivot*            0.8768     124.33     1.4654     0.8952 
1st Support       0.8757     124.46     1.4635     0.8932 
2nd Support       0.8745     123.81     1.4606     0.8880 
3rd Support       0.8720     123.55     1.4551     0.8855 
 

Intraday EUR/GBP: Near-term bulls retain the upper hand after forcing a break through 0.8745, and the focus is now on testing the Feb. 11 bull failure high at 0.8841. A break through there/0.8855 would strengthen the Jan. 28 reaction low at 0.8603, and open an upside target at 0.8894. Maximum downside scope is seen to the 0.8745 pivotal level at this stage.

Weekly chart EUR/GBP trend: Range.

Intraday EUR/JPY: Forces a break through 124.85 into fresh near-term highs to extend the corrective recovery towards 125.93, and scope for pivotal resistance around 127.00 cannot be ruled out. Below 124.46 is required to provide relief, although only below 123.81 would question the near-term bullish outlook.

Weekly chart EUR/JPY trend: Bearish.

Intraday EUR/CHF: Remains confined within a descending triangle, and the triangle support line at 1.4635 is under renewed bear pressure. A break below there would prompt weakness to 1.4606 and the Feb. 5 spike low at 1.4551. Corrective upside should face a cap below the Feb. 12 high at 1.4705.

Weekly chart EUR/CHF trend: Bearish.

Intraday AUD/USD: Stages a good recovery off Friday's low at 0.8880 to put the Feb. 17 high at 0.9035 back under threat. This level represent 61.8% retracement of the 0.9330/0.8578 decline, and a break through there would prompt further strength towards the 0.9093 lower high. Support lies at 0.8932 to protect the 0.8880 low.

Weekly chart AUD/USD trend: Bullish.

* The pivot is the sum of the high, low and close divided by 3.

For more technical analysis see: Dow Jones Newswires, N/DJTA; Bloomberg, NI DJTA; and Reuters key word search "INSI-DJN"

-By Francis Bray, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9249; francis.bray@dowjones.com

Francis Bray is Dow Jones' chief technical analyst for Europe, and has worked as a technical analyst and trader for 20 years in London, Barcelona and Guernsey.

Data provided by CQG International Ltd.

(This article is general financial information, not personalized investment advice, as it does not consider the unique circumstances affecting an individual reader's decision to buy or sell a specific security or currency. Dow Jones does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of the information in this article, and any errors will not be made the basis for any claim against Dow Jones. The author does not invest in the instruments or markets cited in this article.)

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(END) Dow Jones Newswires

February 22, 2010 02:24 ET (07:24 GMT)

  Точного расчета на форексе не бывает. Я бы сказал многосторонний, многофакторный анализ и проработка нескольких вариантов развития событий :)

Похоже поход до 1.37 не состоялся, часа через четыре-пять можем вниз пойти.

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Нет, разворотный вниз паттерн уже сформировался. Похоже быстрее идем.