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irusoh1
2006.10.20 21:18
Its incomperehensible how it could go up and down like that on such a light volume.
datetime samebartime; int start() if(IsTesting()) { if(iTime(NULL,PERIOD_M1,0)==samebartime) return(0); } ..... ordersend(.... samebartime=iTime(NULL,PERIOD_M1,0);
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Fallacies, Part 2. Statistics Is a Pseudo-Science, or a Chronicle of Nosediving Bread And Butter Numerous attempts to apply statistical methods to the objective reality, i.e. to financial series, crash when met with the nonstationarity of processes, "fat tails" of accompanying probability distributions, and insufficient volume of financial data. In this publication I will try to refer not to the financial series as such, but to their subjective presentation - in this case, to the way a trader tries to halter the series, i.e. to the trading system. The eduction of statistical regularities of the trading results process is a rather enthralling task. In some cases quite true conclusions about the model of this process can be made, and these can be applied to the trading system. |
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Zap
2006.10.21 02:32
There's been lots of topics about the same problem recently, where I wrote my thoughts
on this. I've been working on this issue for the last months..
Generated ticks are not better than random on the smallest timeframe. You cannot simulate better though in my opinion, since you don't have enough data. Otherwise write out the generated ticks to a file, and you will see why I am talking about it being random. Strategy tester is a very good basis though, and it is capable of importing real data. |